Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.534786 0.693691 0.874052 1.091332 1.343407 1.624175 1.958037
2025-10-05 0.315582 0.508484 0.758154 1.092967 1.518346 2.029544 2.678811
2025-10-12 0.185034 0.378778 0.665807 1.090978 1.674743 2.420136 3.415146
2025-10-19 0.099048 0.270757 0.566391 1.050221 1.764134 2.725434 4.063247
2025-10-26 0.051119 0.196668 0.490974 1.021064 1.855250 3.030316 4.722282
2025-11-02 0.027025 0.151848 0.447714 1.028107 1.991908 3.399412 5.480306
2025-11-09 0.011207 0.108266 0.388159 0.991749 2.051859 3.656988 6.091997
2025-11-16 0.005639 0.090645 0.376907 1.037603 2.243046 4.112092 6.994817
2025-11-23 0.001942 0.069607 0.347070 1.040024 2.358806 4.456599 7.749361
2025-11-30 0.000843 0.062291 0.351438 1.111412 2.596164 4.994959 8.799877
2025-12-07 0.000217 0.052694 0.344019 1.155236 2.786208 5.465577 9.763104
2025-12-14 0.000011 0.041753 0.325508 1.170047 2.922987 5.855526 10.615767
2025-12-21 NaN 0.029406 0.292807 1.146903 2.990624 6.143197 11.333792
2025-12-28 NaN 0.022977 0.279931 1.169637 3.146356 6.579818 12.290067
2026-01-04 NaN 0.017045 0.263096 1.178274 3.274092 6.973843 13.190454
2026-01-11 NaN 0.010535 0.232085 1.140579 3.304906 7.205360 13.844523
2026-01-18 NaN 0.006316 0.206914 1.112337 3.350738 7.461728 14.541497
2026-01-25 NaN 0.004227 0.194960 1.121150 3.473845 7.853844 15.459733
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002052 0.170734 1.083194 3.491961 8.061908 16.088764
2026-02-08 NaN 0.001587 0.171865 1.132260 3.704457 8.618656 17.286339
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000853 0.160826 1.135006 3.812611 8.991895 18.194648
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000778 0.168949 1.210891 4.091228 9.677803 19.620216
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000552 0.169398 1.257426 4.304250 10.249757 20.868988